Consensus PnL $76K · win rate 50% (125–124, n=249) · PM monthly #593 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$75.8K
Record
125W / 124L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 249 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1761
Source
PM monthly #593
Trades
63
Markets
272
Volume
$516.2K
Specialties
123 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 44¢- Esports
+56 pts
side won 100% of 95 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +56%
- MMA
+58 pts
side won 100% of 28 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +61%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 16%(won 100% of 20)
- 30–50¢: 65%(won 100% of 80)
- 50–70¢: 15%(won 100% of 18)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.