Jsram

Consensus PnL $2.3M · win rate 55% (114–92, n=206) · PM monthly #29 · holds 1 consensus position

0x83720820...d16c5223Polymarket

🐋Whale⚖️Arb🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$2.3M

Record

114W / 92L

Win Rate

55.0%

of 206 settled

Batting Avg

50.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#1464

Source

PM monthly #29

Trades

1,759

Markets

286

Volume

$24.1M

Top consensus positions

1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)

Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under $42K · now 46¢ · in at 49¢against the consensus (Over)

Specialties

240 settled consensus markets · held side won 62% at an average entry of 55¢

Soccer
+8 pts
side won 61% of 205 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +7%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

under 30¢: 7%(won 6% of 17)
30–50¢: 23%(won 52% of 56)
50–70¢: 54%(won 68% of 130)
70¢ and up: 15%(won 84% of 37)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.