Consensus PnL $37K · win rate 14% (202–1234, n=1436) · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$36.8K
Record
202W / 1234L
Win Rate
14.0%
of 1436 settled
Batting Avg
46.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2246
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
61,634
Markets
2,109
Volume
$1.5M
Specialties
838 settled consensus markets · held side won 38% at an average entry of 28¢- Mentions
+10 pts
side won 38% of 804 · avg entry 28¢
ROI +10%
Weakest: Geopolitics — held side won 36% of 14 at an average 42¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 66%(won 10% of 549)
- 30–50¢: 10%(won 77% of 82)
- 50–70¢: 9%(won 94% of 77)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 100% of 130)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.