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Mentions: what top Polymarket traders hold

What gets said: word counts in speeches and posts. These are the Mentions markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.

Live consensus markets
8
Recently settled, consensus right
6 of 7
Prices as of
Nov 1, 14:41 UTC

Live Mentions consensus markets (8)

Top traders in Mentions

Tracked traders with 10 or more settled Mentions consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.

  1. 1.StraddleSeller+44 ptsside won 96% of 25 · avg entry 52¢ · ROI +21%
  2. 2.BigMackyG+36 ptsside won 71% of 87 · avg entry 35¢ · ROI +21%
  3. 3.HerrieDavis+28 ptsside won 88% of 505 · avg entry 60¢ · ROI +3%
  4. 4.0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271+28 ptsside won 93% of 320 · avg entry 64¢ · ROI +32%
  5. 5.shiifoo+33 ptsside won 95% of 42 · avg entry 63¢ · ROI +28%
  6. 6.Tyatsmr+39 ptsside won 100% of 17 · avg entry 61¢ · ROI +63%
  7. 7.Stonktrader+38 ptsside won 100% of 15 · avg entry 62¢ · ROI +11%
  8. 8.JAMJAMJAM4+28 ptsside won 100% of 29 · avg entry 72¢ · ROI +24%
  9. 9.dddtrips+21 ptsside won 57% of 296 · avg entry 36¢ · ROI +23%
  10. 10.troim+28 ptsside won 68% of 53 · avg entry 39¢ · ROI +14%

Recently settled Mentions markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.