Consensus PnL $83K · win rate 54% (29–25, n=54) · PM monthly #845 · holds 6 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$82.7K
Record
29W / 25L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 54 settled
Batting Avg
16.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1005
Source
PM monthly #845
Record (90 d)
6/6 · 100%
Trades
399
Markets
61
Volume
$147.8K
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Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 6 of 6 on the consensus side (100%)- Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under $1.2K · now 61¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (31% of 16)
- Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Under $1.1K · now 54¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (61% of 20)
- 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5Under $990 · now 32¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (37% of 25)
- Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5Under $870 · now 44¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (56% of 9)
- Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under $523 · now 56¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (25% of 8)
- Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Under $23 · now 56¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (22% of 19)
Specialties
25 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+51 pts
side won 100% of 17 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 36%(won 78% of 9)
- 50–70¢: 56%(won 100% of 14)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.