Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 58% (352–256, n=608) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$21.9K
Record
352W / 256L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 608 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1287
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
35
Markets
633
Volume
$712.2K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes $189 · now 24¢ · in at 21¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
386 settled consensus markets · held side won 93% at an average entry of 59¢- Esports
+35 pts
side won 95% of 341 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +32%
- Crypto
+16 pts
side won 69% of 35 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 76% of 17)
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 91% of 82)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 92% of 180)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 99% of 107)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.