Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 58% (14–10, n=24) · was PM monthly #807 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$16.4K
Record
14W / 10L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 24 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#863
Source
PM monthly #807
Record (90 d)
11/14 · 79%
Trades
45
Markets
30
Volume
$200.9K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio BuseIgnacio Buse $10K · now 26¢ · in at 40¢against the consensus (Nuno Borges)
Specialties
14 settled consensus markets · held side won 79% at an average entry of 38¢- Tennis
+38 pts
side won 75% of 12 · avg entry 37¢
ROI +28%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 75% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 43%(won 67% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 21%(won 100% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.