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Consensus PnL $7.6K · win rate 80% (32–8, n=40) · was PM monthly #997 · holds 1 consensus position
0x2aa25887...ca77a548Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$7.6K
Record
32W / 8L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 40 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#447
Source
PM monthly #997
Trades
28
Markets
49
Volume
$97.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes $13K · now 19¢ · in at 11¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
36 settled consensus markets · held side won 78% at an average entry of 50¢- Soccer
+47 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +58%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 22%(won 50% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 75% of 12)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 100% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 19%(won 86% of 7)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.