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77
Consensus PnL -$22K · win rate 41% (321–470, n=791) · was PM monthly #988 · holds 1 consensus position
0x77867ef9...0161c005Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-21.5K
Record
321W / 470L
Win Rate
41.0%
of 791 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2077
Source
PM monthly #988
Trades
136
Markets
873
Volume
$404.4K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BAurora Gaming $329 · now 70¢ · in at 69¢with the consensus (71% of 7)
Specialties
555 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 48¢- Esports
+10 pts
side won 58% of 495 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 25% of 85)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 54% of 212)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 67% of 198)
- 70¢ and up: 11%(won 83% of 60)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.