Back to Traders
7F
Consensus PnL $302K · win rate 96% (150–7, n=157) · was PM monthly #980 · holds 15 consensus positions
0x7f3c8979...2af05613Polymarket
🐋Whale🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$301.9K
Record
150W / 7L
Win Rate
96.0%
of 157 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#131
Source
PM monthly #980
Trades
94
Markets
198
Volume
$9.6M
Top consensus positions
15 in listed consensus markets · 13 of 15 on the consensus side (87%)- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No $324K · now 97¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (88% of 17)
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No $62K · now 97¢ · in at 80¢with the consensus (78% of 9)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No $52K · now 98¢ · in at 95¢with the consensus (74% of 19)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No $50K · now 99¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No $48K · now 96¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (79% of 28)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No $24K · now 97¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (86% of 21)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No $23K · now 93¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (77% of 26)
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No $22K · now 98¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (80% of 10)
Specialties
171 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 96¢- Crypto
+4 pts
side won 99% of 166 · avg entry 96¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 2%(won 67% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 100% of 168)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.