Consensus PnL -$1.5K · win rate 66% (134–70, n=204) · was PM monthly #993 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-1.5K
Record
134W / 70L
Win Rate
66.0%
of 204 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#900
Source
PM monthly #993
Trades
280
Markets
230
Volume
$3.7M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes $75K · now 71¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (62% of 13)
Specialties
175 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 68¢- Tennis
+19 pts
side won 96% of 102 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +20%
- Soccer
+5 pts
side won 64% of 58 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +16%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 26% of 19)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 54% of 13)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 78% of 41)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 97% of 102)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.