Consensus PnL $107K · win rate 85% (17–3, n=20) · PM monthly #379 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$107.1K
Record
17W / 3L
Win Rate
85.0%
of 20 settled
Batting Avg
41.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#349
Source
PM monthly #379
Trades
208
Markets
28
Volume
$1.6M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No $210K · now 95¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (79% of 106)
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes $11K · now 95¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (86% of 158)
Specialties
26 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 92¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where MiuMiuYan's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 88% of 26)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.