Consensus PnL $85K · win rate 53% (264–238, n=502) · PM monthly #884 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$84.5K
Record
264W / 238L
Win Rate
53.0%
of 502 settled
Batting Avg
90.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1530
Source
PM monthly #884
Record (90 d)
109/149 · 73%
Trades
758
Markets
617
Volume
$2.0M
Specialties
489 settled consensus markets · held side won 53% at an average entry of 52¢- NHL
+19 pts
side won 73% of 11 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +28%
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 49% of 86 at an average 52¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI −2%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 20% of 60)
- 30–50¢: 34%(won 39% of 165)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 61% of 197)
- 70¢ and up: 14%(won 93% of 67)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.