Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 36% (492–868, n=1360) · was PM monthly #989 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$19.1K
Record
492W / 868L
Win Rate
36.0%
of 1360 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2438
Source
PM monthly #989
Record (90 d)
450/647 · 70%
Trades
508
Markets
1,600
Volume
$201.8K
Specialties
657 settled consensus markets · held side won 68% at an average entry of 39¢- Tennis
+53 pts
side won 100% of 16 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +50%
- Soccer
+32 pts
side won 73% of 126 · avg entry 41¢
ROI +20%
- Esports
+27 pts
side won 66% of 495 · avg entry 39¢
ROI +23%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 33%(won 42% of 217)
- 30–50¢: 36%(won 74% of 239)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 88% of 149)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 98% of 52)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.