Consensus PnL -$362K · win rate 48% (87–94, n=181) · was PM monthly #483 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-362.2K
Record
87W / 94L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 181 settled
Batting Avg
37.5%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2127
Source
PM monthly #483
Record (90 d)
85/177 · 48%
Trades
687
Markets
185
Volume
$2.0M
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Specialties
177 settled consensus markets · held side won 48% at an average entry of 54¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where NeverLoseBet's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: NFL — held side won 13% of 15 at an average 47¢ entry (−34 pts against the price), ROI −17%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 23% of 13)
- 30–50¢: 39%(won 35% of 69)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 54% of 50)
- 70¢ and up: 25%(won 69% of 45)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.