Consensus PnL $29K · win rate 54% (55–46, n=101) · PM monthly #694 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$29.0K
Record
55W / 46L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 101 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1600
Source
PM monthly #694
Record (90 d)
56/102 · 55%
Trades
148
Markets
102
Volume
$116.8K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BG2 $935 · now 40¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Aurora Gaming)
Specialties
100 settled consensus markets · held side won 55% at an average entry of 48¢- Esports
+7 pts
side won 52% of 58 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +13%
- NBA
+12 pts
side won 65% of 20 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +20%
- MLB
+7 pts
side won 58% of 12 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 29% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 54% of 37)
- 50–70¢: 56%(won 59% of 56)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.