Consensus PnL $312K · win rate 59% (1940–1333, n=3273) · PM monthly #206 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$311.9K
Record
1940W / 1333L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 3273 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1207
Source
PM monthly #206
Trades
289
Markets
4,024
Volume
$2.4M
Specialties
1,418 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 63¢- Soccer
+27 pts
side won 90% of 1297 · avg entry 62¢
ROI +25%
- NHL
+29 pts
side won 98% of 117 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +27%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 60% of 211)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 91% of 203)
- 50–70¢: 21%(won 92% of 302)
- 70¢ and up: 50%(won 98% of 702)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.