Consensus PnL -$134K · win rate 82% (597–127, n=724) · was PM monthly #680 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-134.1K
Record
597W / 127L
Win Rate
82.0%
of 724 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#381
Source
PM monthly #680
Trades
39
Markets
821
Volume
$6.8M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotJiri Lehecka $16K · now 87¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (65% of 27)
Specialties
436 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 89¢- Tennis
+13 pts
side won 100% of 350 · avg entry 87¢
ROI +3%
- Soccer
+4 pts
side won 100% of 14 · avg entry 96¢
ROI 0%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 97% of 38)
- 50–70¢: 10%(won 100% of 42)
- 70¢ and up: 81%(won 100% of 352)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.