Consensus PnL $2.8M · win rate 70% (1626–710, n=2336) · PM monthly #277 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$2.8M
Record
1626W / 710L
Win Rate
70.0%
of 2336 settled
Batting Avg
58.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#735
Source
PM monthly #277
Trades
1,729
Markets
3,169
Volume
$21.2M
Specialties
1,878 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 57¢- NHL
+49 pts
side won 100% of 220 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +48%
- MLB
+45 pts
side won 100% of 158 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +48%
- College Football
+43 pts
side won 100% of 151 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +39%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 100% of 44)
- 30–50¢: 35%(won 100% of 663)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 100% of 750)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 100% of 421)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.