Consensus PnL $10K · win rate 100% (2–0, n=2) · PM monthly #899 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$10.2K
Record
2W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#45
Source
PM monthly #899
Trades
8
Markets
5
Volume
$1.7K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No $15K · now 99¢ · in at 30¢with the consensus (37% of 27)
- Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Yes $479 · now 13¢ · in at 8¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 33¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where QubiBg's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 100%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.