Consensus PnL $586 · win rate 52% (239–218, n=457) · was PM monthly #745 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$585.88
Record
239W / 218L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 457 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1637
Source
PM monthly #745
Trades
106
Markets
464
Volume
$1.7M
Specialties
253 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 57¢- Soccer
+67 pts
side won 100% of 24 · avg entry 33¢
ROI +65%
- Esports
+31 pts
side won 91% of 227 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +33%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 81% of 26)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 82% of 73)
- 50–70¢: 34%(won 97% of 87)
- 70¢ and up: 26%(won 99% of 67)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.