Consensus PnL $1.3M · win rate 55% (2317–1925, n=4242) · was PM monthly #997 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$1.3M
Record
2317W / 1925L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 4242 settled
Batting Avg
69.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1501
Source
PM monthly #997
Record (90 d)
755/793 · 95%
Trades
2,563
Markets
4,863
Volume
$5.7M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra SasnovichKatie Volynets $600 · now 7¢ · in at 58¢against the consensus (Aliaksandra Sasnovich)
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BBetBoom Team $547 · now 75¢ · in at 61¢with the consensus (55% of 77)
Specialties
2,627 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 52¢- Tennis
+44 pts
side won 96% of 958 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +41%
- NBA
+45 pts
side won 95% of 110 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +43%
- Crypto
+43 pts
side won 88% of 323 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 88% of 58)
- 30–50¢: 36%(won 92% of 949)
- 50–70¢: 58%(won 95% of 1516)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 98% of 104)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.