Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B

6 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (86%) · BetBoom Team at 64¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 2

9z37¢BetBoom Team63¢Ends Mon, Nov 2, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

BetBoom Team

Consensus Traders

BetBoom Team 86%

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

-$16.06

Smart Money Entry

63.8¢ → 63.5¢

-1% since entry · 6 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 64%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

9z37%

BetBoom Team64%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team6 traders

Total Value$3.1K

Total Shares4,972

Combined PnL-$16.38

9z1 trader

Total Value$7.86

Total Shares22

Combined PnL+$0.32

BetBoom Team — 86%9z — 14%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Building

+3 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 90%

Freshness

Mature

44h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

86% of non-arb traders are on BetBoom Team. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 90% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleBetBoom Team 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrBetBoom Team 80% · 5

Aligned

Top 1000BetBoom Team 86% · 7

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RA Rayaya	BetBoom Teamavg 64¢	$2.6K	$2.5K	-$20	60% 1179-782 (1961)
relativesignificance	BetBoom Teamavg 64¢	$311.78	$306.91	-$2.44	56% 115-90 (205)
0X 0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237	BetBoom Teamavg 61.7¢	$162.89	$156.84	+$4.47	51% 350-340 (690)
GH ghorrock<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 62.2¢	$55.57	$56.32	+$1.2	56% 14240-11046 (25286)
PL PLACEYOURBETS123<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 63¢	$49.14	$49.14	+$0.39	59% 66-45 (111)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 63.5¢	$43.79	$43.45	+$0	50% 19450-19817 (39267)
HU humbleboyCTR<$100	9zavg 35¢	$7.54	$7.86	+$0.32	55% 515-428 (943)

Rayaya

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,560

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$20

Record

60%

1179-782 (1961)

relativesignificance

BetBoom Team

Invested

$311.78

Value

$306.91

PnL

-$2.44

Record

56%

115-90 (205)

0xf483653F527A9EE5730EAF28709C2856Ab5Fa89c-1765271749237

BetBoom Team

Invested

$162.89

Value

$156.84

PnL

+$4.47

Record

51%

350-340 (690)

ghorrock<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$55.57

Value

$56.32

PnL

+$1.2

Record

56%

14240-11046 (25286)

PLACEYOURBETS123<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$49.14

Value

$49.14

PnL

+$0.39

Record

59%

66-45 (111)

omnibus-076daa<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$43.79

Value

$43.45

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

19450-19817 (39267)

humbleboyCTR<$100

Invested

$7.54

Value

$7.86

PnL

+$0.32

Record

55%

515-428 (943)

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 64%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Building

+3 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 90%

Freshness

Mature

44h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

86% of non-arb traders are on BetBoom Team. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 90% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleBetBoom Team 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrBetBoom Team 80% · 5

Aligned

Top 1000BetBoom Team 86% · 7

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BetBoom Team wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance65.6%

63.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$52.33

Max Loss

-$100.00

152.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.