Consensus PnL $1.4M · win rate 59% (752–523, n=1275) · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$1.4M
Record
752W / 523L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 1275 settled
Batting Avg
61.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1282
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
78,229
Markets
1,630
Volume
$37.0M
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Specialties
1,441 settled consensus markets · held side won 61% at an average entry of 57¢- NBA
+8 pts
side won 60% of 254 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +5%
- Soccer
+2 pts
side won 63% of 855 · avg entry 61¢
ROI +2%
- Other Sports
+24 pts
side won 73% of 15 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +40%
Weakest: MLB — held side won 51% of 37 at an average 53¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 16% of 131)
- 30–50¢: 28%(won 48% of 407)
- 50–70¢: 35%(won 63% of 502)
- 70¢ and up: 28%(won 85% of 401)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.