Back to Traders
CD
Consensus PnL $58K · win rate 70% (633–267, n=900) · was PM monthly #970 · holds 2 consensus positions
0xcd30457c...52bc2dd0Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$57.9K
Record
633W / 267L
Win Rate
70.0%
of 900 settled
Batting Avg
53.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#745
Source
PM monthly #970
Trades
1,797
Markets
21,008
Volume
$6.8M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown $189 · now 100¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (84% of 25)
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown $13 · now 8¢ · in at 32¢against the consensus (Up)
Specialties
446 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 64¢- Crypto
+10 pts
side won 73% of 446 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 0% of 54)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 46% of 67)
- 50–70¢: 22%(won 74% of 96)
- 70¢ and up: 51%(won 98% of 229)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.