Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 76%

Total Value

$2.1K

Combined PnL

$423.32

Smart Money Signal

Down

17 of 26 top traders (65%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down17 traders

Total Value$2.1K

Total Shares2,074

Combined PnL+$658.54

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares462

Combined PnL-$235.22

Down — 65%Up — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
machinelearned	Downavg 72.5¢	$237.31	$282.99	+$45.69	55% 8967-7399 (16366)
pspspsps5	Downavg 52.1¢	$169.4	$269.6	+$100.2	46% 38677-45770 (84447)
LI Little-big	Downavg 56.1¢	$128.73	$229.66	+$100.93	35% 19121-36132 (55253)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Downavg 52.3¢	$117.75	$225	+$107.25	56% 58635-45291 (103926)
PB PBot-6	Downavg 50¢	$100	$200	+$100	58% 51349-37471 (88820)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 63.8¢	$163.63	$190.12	+$29.89	60% 12586-8357 (20943)
G-Penis-Monster	Downavg 53.5¢	$106.97	$170	+$63.03	62% 44284-27268 (71552)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100	Downavg 66.5¢	$66.01	$88	+$21.99	55% 7793-6374 (14167)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 52¢	$59.33	$74.98	+$15.65	74% 103044-36553 (139597)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 67.2¢	$47.05	$70	+$22.95	58% 61090-44611 (105701)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 71.3¢	$60.11	$69.13	+$11.99	64% 24882-13745 (38627)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Upavg 62.7¢	$183.15	—	-$183.15	58% 38498-27579 (66077)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 87¢	$68.05	$50.29	-$17.76	66% 127109-65406 (192515)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 39.7¢	$20.19	$50.82	+$30.63	59% 7083-4987 (12070)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 53¢	$21.19	$39.98	+$18.79	64% 40639-23326 (63965)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 74.8¢	$30.65	$36.64	+$5.99	55% 18379-14972 (33351)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 84.9¢	$37.8	$26.55	+$1.33	61% 96050-60547 (156597)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$20.7	—	-$20.7	51% 20375-19462 (39837)
SF sfkjbsr457CTR	Upavg 25.3¢	$270.53	—	-$18.75	54% 8332-7022 (15354)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 28.5¢	$11.17	—	-$11.17	52% 91321-85769 (177090)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 20¢	$1.45	—	-$1.45	65% 112572-59423 (171995)
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100	Upavg 15.7¢	—	—	+$0	56% 14924-11728 (26652)
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	56% 3698-2861 (6559)
Atomforge<$100	Downavg 58.7¢	—	—	+$0	65% 4332-2383 (6715)
PL ply-pm0CTR<$100	Upavg 36.1¢	—	—	+$0	50% 5585-5650 (11235)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$237.31

Value

$282.99

PnL

+$45.69

Record

55%

8967-7399 (16366)

pspspsps5

Down

Invested

$169.4

Value

$269.6

PnL

+$100.2

Record

46%

38677-45770 (84447)

Little-big

Down

Invested

$128.73

Value

$229.66

PnL

+$100.93

Record

35%

19121-36132 (55253)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down

Invested

$117.75

Value

$225

PnL

+$107.25

Record

56%

58635-45291 (103926)

PBot-6

Down

Invested

$100

Value

$200

PnL

+$100

Record

58%

51349-37471 (88820)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$163.63

Value

$190.12

PnL

+$29.89

Record

60%

12586-8357 (20943)

G-Penis-Monster

Down

Invested

$106.97

Value

$170

PnL

+$63.03

Record

62%

44284-27268 (71552)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100

Down

Invested

$66.01

Value

$88

PnL

+$21.99

Record

55%

7793-6374 (14167)

BoneOhio<$100

Down

Invested

$59.33

Value

$74.98

PnL

+$15.65

Record

74%

103044-36553 (139597)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Down

Invested

$47.05

Value

$70

PnL

+$22.95

Record

58%

61090-44611 (105701)

aaa221<$100

Down

Invested

$60.11

Value

$69.13

PnL

+$11.99

Record

64%

24882-13745 (38627)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$183.15

Value

—

PnL

-$183.15

Record

58%

38498-27579 (66077)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$68.05

Value

$50.29

PnL

-$17.76

Record

66%

127109-65406 (192515)

13897651<$100

Down

Invested

$20.19

Value

$50.82

PnL

+$30.63

Record

59%

7083-4987 (12070)

ohioism<$100

Down

Invested

$21.19

Value

$39.98

PnL

+$18.79

Record

64%

40639-23326 (63965)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Down

Invested

$30.65

Value

$36.64

PnL

+$5.99

Record

55%

18379-14972 (33351)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$37.8

Value

$26.55

PnL

+$1.33

Record

61%

96050-60547 (156597)

devonpollCTR<$100

Invested

$20.7

Value

—

PnL

-$20.7

Record

51%

20375-19462 (39837)

sfkjbsr457CTR

Invested

$270.53

Value

—

PnL

-$18.75

Record

54%

8332-7022 (15354)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$11.17

Value

—

PnL

-$11.17

Record

52%

91321-85769 (177090)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$1.45

Value

—

PnL

-$1.45

Record

65%

112572-59423 (171995)

CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

14924-11728 (26652)

arcsine-barristerCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

3698-2861 (6559)

Atomforge<$100

Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

4332-2383 (6715)

ply-pm0CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

5585-5650 (11235)

Smart Money Signal

Down

17 of 26 top traders (65%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x4b197a2e...4d72d3

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1793552700

Traders in this Market

machinelearned

Down — $282.99

+$45.69

pspspsps5

Down — $269.6

+$100.2

Little-big

Down — $229.66

+$100.93

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $225

+$107.25

PBot-6

Down — $200

+$100

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $190.12

+$29.89

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $170

+$63.03

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down — $88

+$21.99

BoneOhio

Down — $74.98

+$15.65

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $70

+$22.95

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