Consensus PnL $50K · win rate 60% (192–127, n=319) · PM monthly #296 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$50.1K
Record
192W / 127L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 319 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1168
Source
PM monthly #296
Trades
75
Markets
347
Volume
$976.7K
Specialties
196 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 63¢- NBA
+40 pts
side won 98% of 104 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +41%
- College Football
+31 pts
side won 95% of 22 · avg entry 64¢
ROI +30%
- NFL
+24 pts
side won 93% of 43 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 75% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 100% of 27)
- 50–70¢: 58%(won 96% of 113)
- 70¢ and up: 27%(won 100% of 52)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.