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0F
Consensus PnL $57K · win rate 62% (1243–769, n=2012) · PM monthly #672 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x0f17aacb...84d70724Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$56.9K
Record
1243W / 769L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 2012 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1060
Source
PM monthly #672
Trades
435
Markets
3,586
Volume
$1.9M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes $174 · now 99¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (67% of 9)
- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotJiri Lehecka $48 · now 88¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (65% of 27)
Specialties
759 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 71¢- Tennis
+27 pts
side won 100% of 735 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +8%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 93% of 27)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 97% of 93)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 99% of 183)
- 70¢ and up: 60%(won 100% of 456)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.