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C3

SemsBree

Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 78% (21–6, n=27) · was PM monthly #995 · holds 1 consensus position

0xc3a1ed90...80b6d643Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp

Consensus PnL

$13.3K

Record

21W / 6L

Win Rate

78.0%

of 27 settled

Batting Avg

0.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#506

Source

PM monthly #995

Trades

3

Markets

29

Volume

$51.7K

Top consensus positions

1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)

Specialties

23 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 64¢
  • Soccer

    +32 pts

    side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 68¢

    ROI +28%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 0%
  • 30–50¢: 22%(won 100% of 5)
  • 50–70¢: 26%(won 83% of 6)
  • 70¢ and up: 52%(won 100% of 12)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.