Consensus PnL $108K · win rate 80% (326–84, n=410) · PM monthly #537 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$108.2K
Record
326W / 84L
Win Rate
80.0%
of 410 settled
Batting Avg
95.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#436
Source
PM monthly #537
Trades
7,220
Markets
2,111
Volume
$10.0M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-01?Yes $2.2K · now 100¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (64% of 23)
Specialties
324 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 71¢- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 79% of 274 · avg entry 73¢
ROI 0%
- Tennis
+5 pts
side won 63% of 49 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 18%(won 12% of 58)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 50% of 18)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 75% of 44)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 97% of 204)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.