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Consensus PnL $1.9K · win rate 43% (463–624, n=1087) · PM monthly #523 · holds 1 consensus position
0xd06c49e1...9b03cdafPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$1.9K
Record
463W / 624L
Win Rate
43.0%
of 1087 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2038
Source
PM monthly #523
Trades
1,902
Markets
1,398
Volume
$5.3M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit $15K · now 94¢ · in at 46¢with the consensus (47% of 81)
Specialties
540 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 45¢- Esports
+55 pts
side won 99% of 540 · avg entry 45¢
ROI +53%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 98% of 46)
- 30–50¢: 60%(won 99% of 326)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 100% of 166)
- 70¢ and up: 0%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.