Consensus PnL $115K · win rate 54% (1129–966, n=2095) · PM monthly #913 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$114.8K
Record
1129W / 966L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 2095 settled
Batting Avg
70.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#968
Source
PM monthly #913
Record (90 d)
606/744 · 81%
Trades
24,842
Markets
2,375
Volume
$1.5M
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Specialties
1,219 settled consensus markets · held side won 82% at an average entry of 69¢- Soccer
+12 pts
side won 82% of 1211 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 38% of 178)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 54% of 113)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 70% of 154)
- 70¢ and up: 63%(won 98% of 774)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.