Consensus PnL $34K · win rate 81% (323–75, n=398) · PM monthly #485 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$34.0K
Record
323W / 75L
Win Rate
81.0%
of 398 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#405
Source
PM monthly #485
Trades
21
Markets
495
Volume
$709.6K
Specialties
281 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 48¢- College Football
+53 pts
side won 100% of 83 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +54%
- NBA
+52 pts
side won 100% of 95 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +54%
- NFL
+52 pts
side won 100% of 57 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +54%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 58%(won 100% of 164)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 100% of 102)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.