Consensus PnL $138K · win rate 59% (144–100, n=244) · was PM monthly #225 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$137.8K
Record
144W / 100L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 244 settled
Batting Avg
25.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1239
Source
PM monthly #225
Trades
693
Markets
295
Volume
$3.9M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Spread: Patriots (-7.5)Patriots $2.7K · now 46¢ · in at 44¢against the consensus (Dolphins)
Specialties
190 settled consensus markets · held side won 78% at an average entry of 54¢- NFL
+29 pts
side won 82% of 146 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +27%
- NBA
+10 pts
side won 64% of 11 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +10%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 18% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 76% of 55)
- 50–70¢: 52%(won 83% of 98)
- 70¢ and up: 14%(won 92% of 26)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.