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Consensus PnL $32K · win rate 62% (154–93, n=247) · PM monthly #563 · holds 1 consensus position
0x30d6c15a...4b078c9dPolymarket
🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$32.4K
Record
154W / 93L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 247 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1077
Source
PM monthly #563
Trades
114
Markets
266
Volume
$1.0M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?No $40K · now 100¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (61% of 29)
Specialties
249 settled consensus markets · held side won 69% at an average entry of 66¢- Geopolitics
+6 pts
side won 75% of 16 · avg entry 69¢
ROI 0%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 15%(won 13% of 38)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 52% of 23)
- 50–70¢: 18%(won 62% of 45)
- 70¢ and up: 57%(won 88% of 143)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.