Consensus PnL -$80K · win rate 51% (356–346, n=702) · was PM monthly #979 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-80.4K
Record
356W / 346L
Win Rate
51.0%
of 702 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1693
Source
PM monthly #979
Trades
54
Markets
702
Volume
$1.2M
Specialties
356 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 55¢- Crypto
+45 pts
side won 100% of 322 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +45%
- Soccer
+47 pts
side won 100% of 31 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +48%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 100% of 41)
- 50–70¢: 87%(won 100% of 309)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.