Consensus PnL $18K · win rate 61% (2737–1740, n=4477) · was PM monthly #986 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$17.8K
Record
2737W / 1740L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 4477 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1165
Source
PM monthly #986
Record (90 d)
2115/2173 · 97%
Trades
63
Markets
4,629
Volume
$363.2K
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Specialties
1,850 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 67¢- Weather
+30 pts
side won 97% of 1850 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +32%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 7%(won 80% of 125)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 96% of 306)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 97% of 419)
- 70¢ and up: 54%(won 99% of 1000)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.