Consensus PnL $30K · win rate 93% (41–3, n=44) · PM monthly #783 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$30.3K
Record
41W / 3L
Win Rate
93.0%
of 44 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#157
Source
PM monthly #783
Record (90 d)
40/42 · 95%
Trades
3
Markets
57
Volume
$96.0K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group BHULIGANI $4 · now 0¢ · in at 40¢against the consensus (Xipto Esports)
Specialties
37 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 54¢- Esports
+46 pts
side won 100% of 37 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +49%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 100% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 43%(won 100% of 16)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.