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Consensus PnL $41K · win rate 73% (19–7, n=26) · PM monthly #416 · holds 3 consensus positions
0x713d1296...91ce3efcPolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp
Consensus PnL
$41.4K
Record
19W / 7L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 26 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#644
Source
PM monthly #416
Trades
1
Markets
28
Volume
$228.7K
Top consensus positions
3 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 3 on the consensus side (67%)- Spread: Rams (-6.5)Rams $5.4K · now 85¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (48% of 24)
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams $5.0K · now 92¢ · in at 52¢against the consensus (Chargers)
- Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)Patriots $3.5K · now 56¢ · in at 56¢with the consensus (72% of 18)
Specialties
26 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 53¢- College Football
+29 pts
side won 83% of 12 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +36%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 63% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 62%(won 88% of 16)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.