Consensus PnL $104K · win rate 95% (13580–663, n=14243) · PM monthly #954 · holds 6 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$103.6K
Record
13580W / 663L
Win Rate
95.0%
of 14243 settled
Batting Avg
54.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#122
Source
PM monthly #954
Record (90 d)
5091/5295 · 96%
Trades
2,778
Markets
17,460
Volume
$1.8M
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Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 6 on the consensus side (83%)- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5Over $134 · now 100¢ · in at 80¢with the consensus (45% of 11)
- Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?No $129 · now 100¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (67% of 9)
- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Over $112 · now 100¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (56% of 27)
- Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?No $64 · now 100¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (67% of 6)
- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Over $27 · now 100¢ · in at 93¢against the consensus (Under)
- Will Cancun FC win on 2026-11-05?Yes $8 · now 21¢ · in at 31¢with the consensus (60% of 6)
Specialties
6,995 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 82¢- Soccer
+16 pts
side won 98% of 6995 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +14%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 72% of 251)
- 30–50¢: 9%(won 91% of 636)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 97% of 772)
- 70¢ and up: 76%(won 100% of 5336)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.