Consensus PnL $1.2M · win rate 62% (214–130, n=344) · PM monthly #135 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$1.2M
Record
214W / 130L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 344 settled
Batting Avg
77.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1088
Source
PM monthly #135
Record (90 d)
100/166 · 60%
Trades
1,690
Markets
385
Volume
$15.1M
Specialties
338 settled consensus markets · held side won 57% at an average entry of 56¢- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 55% of 240 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +8%
- Tennis
+8 pts
side won 80% of 41 · avg entry 73¢
ROI −6%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 38% of 13 at an average 66¢ entry (−27 pts against the price), ROI −16%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 26% of 34)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 43% of 88)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 58% of 139)
- 70¢ and up: 23%(won 87% of 77)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.