Consensus PnL -$217K · win rate 44% (1092–1390, n=2482) · was PM monthly #939 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-216.7K
Record
1092W / 1390L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 2482 settled
Batting Avg
77.8%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2223
Source
PM monthly #939
Record (90 d)
557/929 · 60%
Trades
1,242
Markets
2,643
Volume
$3.6M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ATeam Falcons $1.7K · now 20¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (50% of 109)
Specialties
2,016 settled consensus markets · held side won 51% at an average entry of 45¢- Esports
+6 pts
side won 50% of 1687 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +8%
- NBA
+8 pts
side won 57% of 80 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +15%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 22% of 341)
- 30–50¢: 38%(won 49% of 771)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 61% of 828)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 80% of 76)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.