Consensus PnL -$222 · win rate 35% (22–40, n=62) · PM monthly #584 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
-$221.72
Record
22W / 40L
Win Rate
35.0%
of 62 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2478
Source
PM monthly #584
Record (90 d)
24/28 · 86%
Trades
8
Markets
63
Volume
$43.7K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5Over $834 · now 76¢ · in at 45¢against the consensus (Under)
Specialties
26 settled consensus markets · held side won 85% at an average entry of 43¢- Soccer
+58 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +62%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 35%(won 78% of 9)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 83% of 6)
- 50–70¢: 38%(won 90% of 10)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.