Consensus PnL $16K · win rate 64% (47–26, n=73) · was PM monthly #888 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$15.9K
Record
47W / 26L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 73 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#992
Source
PM monthly #888
Trades
6
Markets
76
Volume
$229.2K
Specialties
57 settled consensus markets · held side won 81% at an average entry of 55¢- Esports
+39 pts
side won 96% of 28 · avg entry 57¢
ROI +46%
- Crypto
+12 pts
side won 65% of 17 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +26%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 26%(won 53% of 15)
- 50–70¢: 56%(won 88% of 32)
- 70¢ and up: 14%(won 100% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.