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7F

ay118

Consensus PnL $1.9K · win rate 65% (35–19, n=54) · was PM monthly #984 · holds 2 consensus positions

0x7f84b263...503db057Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$1.9K

Record

35W / 19L

Win Rate

65.0%

of 54 settled

Batting Avg

0.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#948

Source

PM monthly #984

Trades

7

Markets

59

Volume

$197.2K

Top consensus positions

2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)

Specialties

37 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 50¢
  • NBA

    +50 pts

    side won 100% of 36 · avg entry 50¢

    ROI +48%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 0%
  • 30–50¢: 57%(won 100% of 21)
  • 50–70¢: 43%(won 100% of 16)
  • 70¢ and up: 0%

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.