Back to Traders
53
Consensus PnL $24K · win rate 52% (33–31, n=64) · was PM monthly #188 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x531b6a89...41a132b6Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$23.9K
Record
33W / 31L
Win Rate
52.0%
of 64 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1669
Source
PM monthly #188
Trades
39
Markets
66
Volume
$575.9K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $638 · now 3¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (100% of 10)
- Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes $571 · now 3¢ · in at 2¢with the consensus (100% of 5)
Specialties
30 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 44¢- NBA
+42 pts
side won 91% of 11 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +62%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 100% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 47%(won 93% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 30%(won 100% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 7%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.