Consensus PnL -$26K · win rate 45% (60–74, n=134) · was PM monthly #934 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-26.5K
Record
60W / 74L
Win Rate
45.0%
of 134 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1990
Source
PM monthly #934
Trades
43
Markets
137
Volume
$350.8K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes $695 · now 23¢ · in at 19¢with the consensus (70% of 10)
Specialties
71 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 55¢- Soccer
+38 pts
side won 97% of 37 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +37%
- MMA
+40 pts
side won 93% of 27 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 50% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 91% of 11)
- 50–70¢: 68%(won 94% of 48)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 83% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.