Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 97% (101–3, n=104) · was PM monthly #984 · holds 34 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$22.9K
Record
101W / 3L
Win Rate
97.0%
of 104 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#109
Source
PM monthly #984
Record (90 d)
84/87 · 97%
Trades
6
Markets
168
Volume
$161.3K
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Top consensus positions
34 in listed consensus markets · 15 of 34 on the consensus side (44%)- Timberwolves vs. PelicansPelicans $20K · now 1¢ · in at 47¢against the consensus (Timberwolves)
- Trail Blazers vs. LakersTrail Blazers $4.8K · now 59¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (53% of 46)
- Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)New Mexico $2.5K · now 50¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under $2.2K · now 75¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (79% of 16)
- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)Gen.G $2.1K · now 37¢ · in at 38¢with the consensus (75% of 8)
- Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 37.5Under $1.9K · now 53¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (Over)
- Spread: East Carolina (-6.5)South Florida $916 · now 91¢ · in at 45¢with the consensus (80% of 8)
- Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)Nebraska $729 · now 2¢ · in at 41¢against the consensus (Illinois)
Specialties
75 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+51 pts
side won 100% of 49 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +48%
- College Football
+50 pts
side won 100% of 11 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +48%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 55%(won 100% of 41)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 100% of 33)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.