Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 100% (32–0, n=32) · hand-picked wallet · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$12.8K
Record
32W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 32 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#4
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
300
Markets
35
Volume
$2.7M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No $17K · now 98¢ · in at 94¢with the consensus (92% of 12)
- Trump out as President before 2027?No $9.7K · now 97¢ · in at 92¢with the consensus (90% of 51)
Specialties
32 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 99¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where bullmarketvibes's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 32)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.