Known as caishenbaoyoufadacai888 since Nov 3 2026 · Previously known as: Caishenbaoyouwo888 (Oct 3 2026)
Consensus PnL $107K · win rate 58% (633–452, n=1085) · PM monthly #489 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$107.4K
Record
633W / 452L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 1085 settled
Batting Avg
35.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#834
Source
PM monthly #489
Record (90 d)
286/486 · 59%
Trades
18,763
Markets
1,265
Volume
$7.2M
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Specialties
1,043 settled consensus markets · held side won 58% at an average entry of 57¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where caishenbaoyoufadacai888's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 47% of 38 at an average 55¢ entry (−7 pts against the price), ROI −2%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 18% of 93)
- 30–50¢: 25%(won 38% of 263)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 61% of 379)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 85% of 308)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.